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Keith vs Lossiemouth

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
McKeown N.
44' Event
Duncan L.
Assist: Pocklington M.
45'
Barron S.

AI Match Summary

The Highland League game between Keith and Lossiemouth finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Keith
15%
Draws
0%
Lossiemouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keith come out ahead of Lossiemouth on wins alone.
  • Model gives Keith a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Keith Clean Sheet 13%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Lossiemouth
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.86 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Nov 1, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Keith
0:2
Jan 25, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Keith
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keith Compare

Top Goalscorer McKeown N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duncan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lossiemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 84 / 100
Lossiemouth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Lossiemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keith scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Lossiemouth let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Lossiemouth has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Lossiemouth
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Keith
4 : 1
Wick Academy
Page 1 of 6

Lossiemouth

(Away)
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0
Lossiemouth
16 Sept
Lossiemouth
0 : 2
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Clachnacuddin
4 : 0
Lossiemouth
29 Aug
Inverurie Loco Works
3 : 1
Lossiemouth
22 Aug
Lossiemouth
0 : 4
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 11 9 2 0 43:10 29
2 Inverurie Loco Works 12 6 5 1 22:14 23
3 Formartine Utd 12 6 4 2 23:16 22
4 Fraserburgh 11 6 3 2 24:10 21
5 Strathspey Thistle 13 6 2 5 24:16 20
6 Forres Mechanics 12 6 2 4 21:15 20
7 Buckie Thistle 11 6 1 4 30:16 19
8 Banks O' Dee 12 5 4 3 28:24 19
9 Clachnacuddin 11 4 5 2 24:11 17
10 Nairn County 12 3 5 4 16:19 14
11 Lossiemouth 11 4 2 5 13:22 14
12 Turriff United 11 4 1 6 12:16 13
13 Deveronvale 11 3 3 5 12:15 12
14 Huntly 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
15 Keith 11 3 3 5 18:24 12
16 Invergordon 11 3 1 7 15:28 10
17 Wick Academy 11 1 0 10 7:31 3
18 Rothes 10 1 0 9 7:48 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)