Sport Picks

Keith vs Stonehaven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Scottish Cup

Keith

2 - 1

Stonehaven

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Keith

25%

Draws

35%

Stonehaven

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Keith carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Stonehaven a 35% chance of winning this.
Keith have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Keith, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Keith Clean Sheet 20%

Stonehaven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Keith	Stonehaven
Matches Played	30	2
Wins	17	1
Draws	5	0
Losses	8	1
Goals Scored	1.87	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Scottish Cup

Keith vs Stonehaven

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 16 / 100

Stonehaven 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Keith Stonehaven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stonehaven Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Stonehaven conceded in 50% of 2 recent games.

Keith has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Stonehaven

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)

07 Oct

Keith

1 : 0

Turriff United

03 Oct

Keith

2 : 1

Stonehaven

26 Sept

Brora Rangers

5 : 0

Keith

19 Sept

Keith

2 : 3

Strathspey Thistle

16 Sept

Banks O' Dee

4 : 1

Keith

Page 1 of 6

Stonehaven

(Away)

03 Oct

Keith

2 : 1

Stonehaven

08 Jul

Rothes

0 : 1

Stonehaven

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Boness United 3

Irvine Meadow 2

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Rothes 0

Brora Rangers 9

Cowdenbeath 4

Berwick 0

Newton Stewart 1

Johnstone Burgh 3

Civil Service Strollers 0

Formartine Utd 2

Brechin 3

Buckie Thistle 2

Strathspey Thistle 3

Dalbeattie Star 2

Lochee United 3

Inverurie Loco Works 2

TBD -

Spartans -

Haddington Athletic 0

Cumbernauld Colts 2

Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1

Banks O' Dee 2

Hill Of Beath 2

Glasgow University 0

Musselburgh 2

Lossiemouth 1

Gala Fairydean Rovers 0

Largs Thistle 1

Dunipace 5

Preston Athletic 2

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Keith 2

Stonehaven 1

Nairn County 0

Gretna 2008 1

Cumnock Juniors 2

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Deveronvale 2

Troon FC 3

Caledonian Braves 4

Fraserburgh 0

Beith 0

Huntly 3

TBD -

Annan -

Forres Mechanics 0

Stirling University 1

TBD -

Elgin City -

Renfrew 3

Broxburn Athletic 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Bonnyton Thistle 2

East Stirlingshire 0

Clachnacuddin 2

Bonnyrigg Rose 0

Stranraer -

TBD -

Tayport FC 3

Wick Academy 0

Penicuik 3

Kilwinning Rangers 1

TBD -

Clyde -

Threave Rovers 3

Invergordon 2

Pollok 4

Albion Rovers 1

Linlithgow Rose 0

Clydebank FC 1

Tranent FC 3

Turriff United 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

Boness United -

Forfar Athletic -

Edinburgh City -

Kelty Hearts -

Brora Rangers -

Cowdenbeath -

Johnstone Burgh -

Formartine Utd -

Brechin -

Strathspey Thistle -

Lochee United -

Spartans -

Cumbernauld Colts -

Banks O' Dee -

Hill Of Beath -

Musselburgh -

Largs Thistle -

Dunipace -

Dumbarton -

Keith -

Gretna 2008 -

Cumnock Juniors -

Troon FC -

Caledonian Braves -

Huntly -

Annan -

Stirling University -

Elgin City -

Renfrew -

Stirling -

Bonnyton Thistle -

Clachnacuddin -

Stranraer -

Tayport FC -

Penicuik -

Clyde -

Threave Rovers -

Pollok -

Clydebank FC -

Tranent FC -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Keith vs Stonehaven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Keith

Stonehaven

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

Stonehaven

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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