Sport Picks
Keith vs Strathspey Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Highland League 
Match Events
37'
37'
Cooper J.
39'
39'
Fraser K.
65'
65'
Shewan L.
Assist: Thompson R.
AI Match Summary
Strathspey Thistle in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strathspey Thistle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strathspey Thistle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Keith lately — more wins on the board than Strathspey Thistle.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Strathspey Thistle have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Keith | Strathspey Thistle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Strathspey Thistle
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Strathspey Thistle
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Keith
3:1
Apr 9, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Strathspey Thistle
1:4
Mar 1, 2025 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Keith
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Keith Compare
Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duncan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Strathspey Thistle Compare
Top Goalscorer Fraser K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shewan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Keith 30 / 100
Strathspey Thistle 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Keith Strathspey Thistle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strathspey Thistle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Keith found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Strathspey Thistle conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Keith went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Keith VS Strathspey Thistle
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Keith
(Home) 07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0 Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1 Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0 Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1 Keith
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0 Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1 Stonehaven
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0 Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2 Buckie Thistle
Page 1 of 3
Strathspey Thistle
(Away) 07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1 Forres Mechanics
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
7 : 1 Rothes
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
12 Sept
Inverurie Loco Works
1 : 1 Strathspey Thistle
05 Sept
Invergordon
0 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
22 Aug
Turriff United
1 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 53:12 | 35 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Formartine Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Clachnacuddin | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 20 |
| 6 | Strathspey Thistle | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Forres Mechanics | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:20 | 19 |
| 9 | Banks O' Dee | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 29:27 | 19 |
| 10 | Huntly | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | 18 |
| 11 | Nairn County | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Lossiemouth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 17 |
| 13 | Turriff United | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 14 | Keith | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 15 | Deveronvale | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15:36 | 10 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11:38 | 6 |
| 18 | Rothes | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9:55 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
