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Keith vs Turriff United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Duncan H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Keith in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Keith
15%
Draws
42%
Turriff United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Turriff United haven't matched Keith's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Turriff United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Turriff United
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.82 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Highland League
Turriff United vs Keith
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Highland League
Turriff United vs Keith
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 30 / 100
Turriff United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Turriff United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Turriff United conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Turriff United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Turriff United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
Page 1 of 6

Turriff United

(Away)
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Turriff United
4 : 1
Rothes
19 Sept
Invergordon
3 : 1
Turriff United
16 Sept
Turriff United
2 : 1
Huntly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)