Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kelty Hearts vs Brechin

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Moore L.
16' Event
Murray I.
Assist: Ferguson A.
39'
Sweeney K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
50%
Brechin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brechin lately — more wins on the board than Kelty Hearts.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Brechin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kelty Hearts have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Brechin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Brechin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Brechin
2:0
May 23, 2021 League Two
Brechin vs Kelty Hearts
0:1
May 18, 2021 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Brechin
2:1
Nov 14, 2020 League Cup
Brechin vs Kelty Hearts
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Brechin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
Brechin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Brechin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelty Hearts found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Brechin conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Kelty Hearts stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Brechin
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Aug
Kelty Hearts
2 : 4
Clydebank FC
22 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Brechin

(Away)
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
22 Aug
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Brechin
08 Aug
Brechin
4 : 3
Berwick
01 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2
Brechin
29 Jul
East Stirlingshire
3 : 3
Brechin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
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Clyde -
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Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
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Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
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Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
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Hamilton -
East Fife -
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Arbroath -
Livingston -
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St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
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Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
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Forfar Athletic -
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Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
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Montrose -
Dunfermline -
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Queen of the South -
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Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
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Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
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Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
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Raith -
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Alloa -
Motherwell -
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Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
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Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
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Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
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Morton -
Hearts -
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Falkirk -
Ayr -
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Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
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Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
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East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
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Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
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Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
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Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
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Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
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Falkirk -
Ayr -
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Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
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Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1