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Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
McGregor J.
2' Event
Walker L.
Assist: North T.
14'
Flatman C.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Edinburgh City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
53%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Edinburgh City have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Kelty Hearts are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Model gives Edinburgh City a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kelty Hearts have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Edinburgh City
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
1:3
Mar 30, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
3:1
Feb 13, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
3:2
Feb 3, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts
0:3
Oct 7, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Cole R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader North T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
Edinburgh City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Kelty Hearts found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Edinburgh City conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kelty Hearts stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Edinburgh City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Edinburgh City

(Away)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 10 6 2 2 23:9 20
2 Clyde 10 6 2 2 23:17 20
3 Elgin City 10 5 2 3 27:17 17
4 Spartans 10 4 3 3 22:18 15
5 Kelty Hearts 10 4 0 6 14:20 12
6 Dumbarton 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
7 Forfar Athletic 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Stirling 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
9 Edinburgh City 10 4 3 3 20:18 10
10 Annan 10 3 0 7 10:17 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)