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Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts host Forfar Athletic in the League Two. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kelty Hearts at 1.43 goals for, 2 against; Forfar Athletic at 1.16 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, Kelty Hearts have won 2 to Forfar Athletic's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.38) point toward Kelty Hearts. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
51%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forfar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic have managed 1.16 goals a game lately — Kelty Hearts are scoring more at 1.43.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kelty Hearts taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 17%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.16
Goals Conceded 2 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
1:0
Aug 23, 2022 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
1:2
Apr 23, 2022 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 36 / 100
Forfar Athletic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kelty Hearts scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Forfar Athletic has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Kelty Hearts remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Forfar Athletic
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)