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Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup New Central Park
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Dow C.
Assist: Plank D.

AI Match Summary

Hearts B in this Challenge Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kelty Hearts
11%
Draws
9%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Hearts B's 1.
  • Win probability leans Kelty Hearts's way, sitting at 80%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Challenge Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 20%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Hearts B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
0:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer Dow C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 76 / 100
Hearts B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Hearts B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kelty Hearts found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Hearts B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Hearts B
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210