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Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Dow C.
Assist: Plank D.

AI Match Summary

Hearts B in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
42%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts have won more games recently than Hearts B.
  • Win probability leans Kelty Hearts's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Kelty Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts B, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 13%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Hearts B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.18 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
0:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer Dow C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 66 / 100
Hearts B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelty Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kelty Hearts's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Hearts B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Hearts B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.33
2 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Aug
Kelty Hearts
2 : 4
Clydebank FC
22 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 1
Dumbarton
15 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
18 Apr
Cowdenbeath
3 : 0
Hearts B
10 Apr
Hearts B
3 : 0
Albion Rovers
03 Apr
East Stirlingshire
4 : 2
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)