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Kematen vs Ebbs

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between Kematen and Ebbs finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kematen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kematen
20%
Draws
29%
Ebbs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kematen a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%
Ebbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen Ebbs
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.8 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kematen
1:2
Jun 3, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs Ebbs
4:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kematen
6:1
Apr 18, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Ebbs
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kematen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 38 / 100
Ebbs 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen Ebbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kematen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kematen scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ebbs conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Kematen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS Ebbs
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
21 Aug
Kematen
5 : 5
FC Natters
16 Aug
Telfs
3 : 2
Kematen
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Ebbs

(Away)
13 Sept
Ebbs
3 : 0
SC Munster
04 Sept
SC Kundl
1 : 1
Ebbs
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
23 Aug
Innsbrucker AC
3 : 0
Ebbs
15 Aug
Ebbs
3 : 4
SV Haiming
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