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Kematen vs SC Mils 05 Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Tirol
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kematen host SC Mils 05 in the Tirol. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Kematen at 2.03 goals for, 2 against; SC Mils 05 at 1.56 for, 2.31 against. Past meetings favor Kematen slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.00, favoring Kematen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kematen
20%
Draws
38%
SC Mils 05
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kematen have won more games recently than SC Mils 05.
  • Kematen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kematen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%
SC Mils 05 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen SC Mils 05
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.56
Goals Conceded 2 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tirol
SC Mils 05 vs Kematen
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tirol
SC Mils 05 vs Kematen
0:3
Apr 21, 2023 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 38 / 100
SC Mils 05 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen SC Mils 05

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kematen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: SC Mils 05 conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kematen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS SC Mils 05
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
26 Sept
Kolsass Weer
1 : 3
Kematen
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
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SC Mils 05

(Away)
26 Sept
SC Mils 05
1 : 0
Innsbrucker AC
19 Sept
SV Haiming
0 : 1
SC Mils 05
12 Sept
SC Mils 05
1 : 1
SV Worgl
05 Sept
SC Mils 05
2 : 2
Stubai
28 Aug
Kolsass Weer
2 : 4
SC Mils 05
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