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Kempston vs Bedford

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Goodman R.
22' Event
Tomlinson C.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Richardson D.

AI Match Summary

Bedford in this Club Friendly 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Kempston
15%
Draws
68%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Bedford have won more games recently than Kempston.
  • Win probability leans Bedford's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kempston Clean Sheet 19%
Bedford Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kempston Bedford
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup
Kempston vs Bedford
1:2
Sep 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Kempston vs Bedford
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kempston Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodman R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Richardson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kempston 20 / 100
Bedford 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kempston Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kempston scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bedford let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kempston went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bedford
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kempston

(Home)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
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Bedford

(Away)
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
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