Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kempston vs Harefield United

England England

FA Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kempston in this FA Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kempston
15%
Draws
49%
Harefield United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harefield United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kempston lately — more wins on the board than Harefield United.
  • Model gives Kempston a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Kempston have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kempston, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kempston Clean Sheet 12%
Harefield United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kempston Harefield United
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 FA Cup
Kempston vs Harefield United
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kempston 38 / 100
Harefield United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kempston Harefield United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kempston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kempston found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Harefield United has conceded goals in 85% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Harefield United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kempston VS Harefield United
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kempston

(Home)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
Page 1 of 6

Harefield United

(Away)
14 Sept
Hastings
1 : 0
Harefield United
03 Sept
Lewes
0 : 1
Harefield United
31 Aug
Harefield United
1 : 1
Lewes
04 Sept
Harefield United
0 : 4
Hastings
03 Sept
Kempston
3 : 2
Harefield United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Southport -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Chester -
Alfreton -
TBD -
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AFC Fylde -
Harlow 3
Romford 1
Brigg Town 1
King’s Lynn 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Macclesfield -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Billingham Synthonia FC 4
Ossett Town 5
Bridlington Town 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Harrogate -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Buxton 0
Witton Albion 3
Ashton Athletic 7
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Colne 0
Hyde 1
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Farsley 3
Sheffield FC 0
Pontefract Collieries 2
Tadcaster Albion 3
Trafford 5
Cheadle Town 2
Ossett Albion 1
Bishop Auckland 5
Barrow -
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Tranmere -
Halesowen 3
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 1
Belper Town 2
Marine 2
Marske United 0
Ashton United 0
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 6
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Evesham 2
Barwell 4
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Blyth Spartans 3
Frickley 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Morpeth 4
Matlock 4
Heanor Town 2
Stafford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Shildon 5
Washington 2
Warrington Town 0
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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TBD -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 6
Dunkirk 1
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Burscough 4
Maine Road 3
Squires Gate 2
Handsworth Parramore 5
Chorley -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 3
Dunston 4
Whitby 5
Winsford United 4
Radcliffe 3
Spennymoor 5
Stamford 5
Neots 2
Deeping Rangers 2
Gresley 6
Coalville Town 2
Redditch 1
Stratford 1
AFC Mansfield 2
TBD -
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Wrexham -
York City -
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Bedworth United 2
Coventry United 0
Grantham Town 3
Chasetown 4
Consett 5
Harrogate Railway 0
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Welling -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Whyteleafe 2
Farnborough 5
Andover Town 0
Portishead Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Merthyr Town 4
Barnstaple Town 0
Bideford 1
Portchester 2
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Westfields 4
St Ives Town 0
Leamington 1
Highgate United 3
Hythe 1
Leatherhead 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Walton Casuals 3
Hungerford -
TBD -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Basingstoke 4
South Park 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 5
Saffron 0
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 2
Maidenhead -
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Godalming Town 0
Staines 4
Potters 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dunstable Town 1
Canvey Island 2
Oxford City -
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Bath City -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 3
Dorchester 0
Gillingham Town 0
Cirencester 2
Histon 2
Lowestoft 0
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Wealdstone -
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Cinderford Town 0
Fleet Town 1
Slimbridge 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Heybridge 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Gloucester City -
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Frome Town 0
Salisbury 2
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 1
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Hemel Hempstead -
Braintree -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 7
Wantage 2
Haringey Borough 0
FC Witham Town 3
Stortford -
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Tilbury 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester -
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Telford -
Rugby 1
Corby 0
TBD -
Brackley -
Tonbridge 9
Ascot United 2
Waltham Abbey 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Eynesbury Rovers 1
Romulus 1
Hereford 4
Slough Town 6
Chipstead 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Cambridge City 3
Chelmsford -
TBD -
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Dartford -
Faversham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Biggleswade United 2
Hitchin 4
VCD Athletic 4
Kingstonian 1
Arundel FC 1
Egham Town 5
Worthing FC 9
Carshalton 5
Sun Sports 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Dereham 2
Holbeach 1
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St. Albans -
Boreham Wood -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Hornchurch 0
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Concord Rangers -
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Pagham 0
Cheshunt 2
Hendon 5
Aldershot -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Hounslow United 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Kings Langley 6
Sporting Bengal 1
London Colney 0
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 4
Sawbridgeworth 1
Needham Market 0
Uxbridge 2
Truro -
TBD -
Street 2
Winchester City 4
Margate -
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Maldon & Tiptree 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Barton 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Camberley Town 0
Hastings 2
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 9
Moneyfields 0
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Poole Town -
Bognor Regis 5
Guildford City 1
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster -
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Tamworth -
Darlington FC -
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Brighouse Town 0
Lancaster 3
Brimscombe & Thrupp 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Hamworthy United 2
Brislington 5
Gosport Borough -
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Paulton Rovers 1
Weymouth 2
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United -
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Hinckley LR 2
Kirby Muxloe 3
Rushall 3
Soham 2
Leek Town 2
Kettering 3
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford United 1
Harefield United 2
Kempston 3
Alresford Town 5
Fareham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Cadbury Heath 3
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 4
East Preston 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Colliers Wood 2
Hanwell Town 1
Enfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 0
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Sholing 0
Eastbourne United 0
Highworth 3
Sudbury 6
Halstead Town 0
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Ebbsfleet -
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Stotfold 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Weston-super-Mare -
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Corinthian-Casuals 2
North Leigh 3
Quarter-finals
Southport -
TBD -
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Chester -
Alfreton 1
AFC Fylde 0
Harlow 0
King’s Lynn 1
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TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 7
Ossett Town 1
Bridlington Town 3
Harrogate 4
Stalybridge 3
Witton Albion 2
Ashton Athletic 0
Halifax 5
Stockport County 2
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 0
Salford 1
Farsley 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Trafford 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 1
Belper Town 0
Marine 4
Nantwich 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Barwell 0
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Gainsborough 2
Blyth Spartans 2
Morpeth 4
Matlock 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Shildon 1
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Nuneaton 1
Burscough 0
Handsworth Parramore 2
Chorley 2
Dunston 0
Whitby 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
Gresley 1
Coalville Town 0
AFC Mansfield 1
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TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bedworth United 1
Chasetown 0
Consett 1
Curzon Ashton 2
Welling 2
Whyteleafe 0
Farnborough 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 2
Portchester 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
Westfields 4
Highgate United 2
Hythe 2
Walton Casuals 4
Hungerford 1
Basingstoke 0
South Park 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chesham 4
Sevenoaks 3
Maidenhead 0
Staines 1
Potters 5
Canvey Island 4
Oxford City 2
Bath City 3
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury 6
Cirencester 1
Histon 0
Wealdstone 4
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Slimbridge 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Hampton & Richmond 7
Gloucester City 2
Salisbury 1
Herne Bay 2
Hemel Hempstead 6
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
FC Witham Town 1
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester 3
Telford 1
Rugby 0
Brackley 6
Tonbridge 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Hereford 3
Slough Town 3
Cambridge City 1
Chelmsford 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 3
Hitchin 2
VCD Athletic 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 2
Hayes & Yeading 0
Dereham 1
St. Albans 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Concord Rangers 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Kings Langley 1
Hadley 2
Harrow Borough 2
Uxbridge 1
Truro 0
Winchester City 4
Margate 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Barton 0
Hastings 1
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 4
Poole Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster 4
Tamworth 0
Darlington FC 1
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 2
Brislington 1
Gosport Borough 2
Weymouth 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United 2
Kirby Muxloe 1
Rushall 1
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 4
Kempston 2
Alresford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 3
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TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Merstham 2
Colliers Wood 1
Hanwell Town 3
Thamesmead 5
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Highworth 1
Sudbury 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone 3
Walthamstow FC 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
North Leigh 2
Semi-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton 2
King’s Lynn 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 3
Harrogate 5
Stalybridge 1
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Salford 0
Farsley 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 2
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Morpeth 0
Matlock 4
Workington 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Handsworth Parramore 1
Chorley 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
AFC Mansfield 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
Bedworth United 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Welling 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 0
Whitehawk 2
Westfields 4
Walton Casuals 0
Hungerford 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chesham 2
Staines 0
Potters 2
Bath City 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Banbury 1
Wealdstone 2
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
Gloucester City 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Worcester 0
Brackley 3
Tonbridge 4
Hereford 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 0
St. Albans 6
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 2
Winchester City 1
Margate 4
Hastings 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 2
Billericay 3
Kidderminster 3
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 0
Weymouth 6
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Boston United 0
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 6
Cadbury Heath 1
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Merstham 5
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Ebbsfleet 7
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
North Leigh 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Southport 1
Chester 0
Alfreton 5
Gateshead 4
North Ferriby United 1
Macclesfield 4
Harrogate 0
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Barrow 2
Tranmere 1
Nantwich 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham 3
Matlock 1
Lincoln City 2
Guiseley 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Spennymoor 3
Stamford 4
Wrexham 3
York City 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Welling 0
Whitehawk 1
Westfields 2
Leiston 1
Sutton 2
Forest Green 1
Chesham 1
Potters 0
Dagenham & Red. 3
Wealdstone 1
Torquay 2
Woking 3
Taunton Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 0
Braintree 4
Bromley 2
Beaconsfield Town 0
Brackley 5
Tonbridge 0
Dartford 3
Egham Town 0
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Hendon 0
Aldershot 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Harrow Borough 5
Margate 3
Maidstone 3
Billericay 1
Kidderminster 6
Weymouth 0
Solihull Moors 3
Kettering 1
Burgess Hill 0
Dover Ath. 5
Merstham 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Eastleigh 6
North Leigh 0