Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kempston vs Newcastle Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Sat, Sep 25, 2021
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Town in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kempston
15%
Draws
42%
Newcastle Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kempston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kempston have won more games recently than Newcastle Town.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Kempston taking it.
  • Kempston have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kempston Clean Sheet 12%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kempston Newcastle Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2021 FA Trophy
Kempston vs Newcastle Town
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kempston 83 / 100
Newcastle Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kempston Newcastle Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kempston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Town has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kempston scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Newcastle Town registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kempston VS Newcastle Town
1 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kempston

(Home)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Town

(Away)
19 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bridlington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheffield FC -
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
Glossop North End -
1874 Northwich -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pickering Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsbottom Utd -
Trafford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bootle -
Stocksbridge -
TBD -
Widnes FC 2
Brighouse Town 0
Stalybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kendal -
TBD -
Pontefract Collieries 1
Yorkshire Amateur 2
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Shildon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Workington -
TBD -
Dunston 3
Worksop 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Tadcaster Albion -
TBD -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 1
Stockton 0
TBD -
Colne -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mossley AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ossett United -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley -
Clitheroe -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Bury Town -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town -
Coleshill Town -
TBD -
Kempston 2
Newcastle Town 3
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Chasetown -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Hednesford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Carlton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedworth United -
Kidsgrove Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Evesham -
Loughborough Dynamo -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa 6
Dereham 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushall -
Corby -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yaxley -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soham -
TBD -
TBD -
Shepshed -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford 1
Neots 0
TBD -
Cambridge City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford 0
Daventry 1
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Market Drayton -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Faversham -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leatherhead -
Margate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Sittingbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Herne Bay -
North Leigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Binfield -
Cray Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kings Langley -
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings 3
AFC Dunstable 0
Ashford United 2
Chalfont St Peter 1
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
FC Witham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancing -
Hullbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanwell Town -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Aylesbury United -
TBD -
Hashtag 1
Chipstead 4
Tooting & Mitcham -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 4
Hythe 3
TBD -
Ashford Town -
Heybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Barking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Romania -
Westfield -
TBD -
Ramsgate 5
Sutton Common Rovers 0
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
VCD Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
South Park -
TBD -
TBD -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City 4
Whitstable Town 0
Stowmarket Town 1
Great Wakering 2
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Staines -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Bedfont Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Romford -
Harlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports -
Corinthian 2
Grays 1
TBD -
Brentwood -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Northwood -
TBD -
TBD -
Haywards Heath -
Barton -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Waltham Abbey -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hertford Town -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Colney Heath -
TBD -
TBD -
Basildon -
Ware -
TBD -
Canvey Island 4
Coggeshall Town 1
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevenoaks -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Thame United 3
Winchester City 2
TBD -
Lymington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Bristol Manor Farm -
TBD -
TBD -
Paulton Rovers -
Larkhall -
TBD -
TBD -
Slimbridge -
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cirencester -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidlington -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wantage 1
Willand Rovers 2
TBD -
Mangotsfield -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Didcot -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Highworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Cinderford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bideford -
Thatcham -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melksham -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Semi-finals
Bridlington Town 4
Sheffield FC 3
Marske United 3
Glossop North End 0
1874 Northwich 1
Marine 2
TBD -
South Shields -
Warrington Rylands 0
Hebburn Town 1
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Morpeth -
TBD -
Pickering Town 2
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Trafford 1
Bootle 2
Stocksbridge 0
Widnes FC 2
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Kendal 0
Yorkshire Amateur 3
Cleethorpes 0
Shildon 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Workington 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Runcorn Linnets 5
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Buxton -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 0
Colne 1
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Witton Albion -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Hyde -
TBD -
Mossley AFC 3
Ossett United 1
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Prescot Cables 0
Frickley 2
Clitheroe 1
Liversedge 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Spalding United 3
Belper Town 2
TBD -
Tamworth -
Bury Town 0
FC Wisbech Town 2
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
Yaxley 2
Biggleswade FC 0
Lincoln Utd. 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Coleshill Town 2
Newcastle Town 3
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Chasetown 1
Halesowen 0
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Hednesford -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Carlton Town 2
Bedworth United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 4
Evesham 1
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Sporting Khalsa 6
TBD -
Rushall -
Corby 5
Histon 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soham 1
Shepshed 0
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Bedford 5
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
Daventry 0
Ilkeston 1
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Market Drayton 0
Leek Town 7
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Faversham 3
Tilbury 2
TBD -
Leatherhead -
Margate -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Sittingbourne 1
Herne Bay 3
North Leigh 2
Binfield 3
Cray Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Kings Langley -
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings 2
Ashford United 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
FC Witham Town 1
Lancing 0
Hullbridge 1
Hanwell Town 4
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Aylesbury United 1
Chipstead 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Whitehawk 4
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Merstham -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Ashford Town 0
Heybridge 2
Barking 0
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Marlow 1
Romania 0
Westfield 3
Ramsgate 2
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
VCD Athletic 1
Chertsey Town 2
TBD -
Worthing FC -
South Park -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
Chichester City 1
Great Wakering 2
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Staines 3
Three Bridges 1
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Bedfont Sports 3
Romford 1
Harlow 3
Phoenix Sports 1
Corinthian 1
Brentwood 2
Sudbury 1
Cray Valley 0
Northwood 1
Haywards Heath 0
Barton 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Chesham -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 3
Hertford Town 2
Aveley 1
Uxbridge 2
Colney Heath 2
Basildon 5
Ware 2
Canvey Island 3
Burgess Hill 2
Sevenoaks 1
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Thame United 3
Lymington 0
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Totton 6
Barnstaple Town 0
TBD -
Dorchester -
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Larkhall 3
Slimbridge 1
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Truro -
TBD -
Cirencester 5
Kidlington 1
Yate -
TBD -
Willand Rovers 2
Mangotsfield 1
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Didcot 1
Frome Town 5
TBD -
Poole Town -
Highworth 3
Plymouth Parkway 5
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Cinderford Town 1
Bideford 0
Thatcham 2
Sholing 1
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
Melksham 3
Basingstoke 2
Final
Bridlington Town 0
Marske United 7
Marine 1
South Shields 0
Hebburn Town 0
Warrington Town 2
Morpeth 4
Pickering Town 2
Bootle 2
Widnes FC 1
Stalybridge 4
Yorkshire Amateur 1
Shildon 0
Whitby 1
Dunston 3
Bamber Bridge 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
United of Manchester 2
Buxton 1
Colne 2
Ashton United 1
Atherton Collieries 0
Witton Albion 1
Lancaster 2
Hyde 1
Mossley AFC 2
Radcliffe 3
Frickley 1
Liversedge 4
Scarborough Athletic 0
Spalding United 1
Tamworth 2
FC Wisbech Town 0
Biggleswade Town 2
Lowestoft 2
Yaxley 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Newcastle Town 0
Hitchin 1
Leiston 3
Redditch 0
Stourbridge 1
Gainsborough 3
Coalville Town 0
Mickleover 0
Grantham Town 1
Chasetown 2
Alvechurch 1
Hednesford 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Royston Town 2
Stratford 1
Carlton Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Sporting Khalsa 1
Rushall 4
Corby 0
Banbury 1
Nantwich 2
Barwell 1
Soham 0
Nuneaton 3
Matlock 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
St Ives Town 0
Needham Market 2
Bedford 3
Stafford 1
Bromsgrove 2
Ilkeston 0
Basford Utd. 2
Leek Town 1
Stortford 2
Lewes 0
Faversham 2
Leatherhead 1
Margate 2
Beaconsfield Town 0
Herne Bay 0
Binfield 2
Cray Wanderers 4
Kings Langley 1
East Thurrock Utd 0
Kingstonian 6
Hastings 1
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Enfield Town 2
Metropolitan Police 1
FC Witham Town 1
Hanwell Town 3
Farnborough 4
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Horsham FC 2
Carshalton 3
Chipstead 2
Whitehawk 1
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Cheshunt 1
Merstham 1
Welwyn Garden 3
Heybridge 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Marlow 4
Westfield 3
Potters 2
Haringey Borough 0
Chertsey Town 0
Worthing FC 2
South Park 0
Harrow Borough 1
Folkestone 2
Hendon 1
Walton Casuals 2
Great Wakering 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
Hornchurch 1
Staines 1
Brightlingsea 0
Bedfont Sports 2
Harlow 1
Brentwood 3
Sudbury 0
Northwood 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Bognor Regis 5
Waltham Abbey 0
Chesham 1
Bracknell Town 2
Uxbridge 2
Basildon 1
Canvey Island 3
Burgess Hill 0
Weston-super-Mare 3
Taunton Town 2
Thame United 2
Wimborne 4
AFC Totton 2
Dorchester 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Larkhall 5
Gosport Borough 1
Salisbury 2
Truro 1
Cirencester 0
Yate 0
Willand Rovers 2
Tiverton 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Frome Town 3
Poole Town 2
Plymouth Parkway 1
Merthyr Town 0
Cinderford Town 3
Thatcham 2
Hartley Wintney 2
Melksham 1