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KenGold vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sillah G.
Assist: Nado I.
41' Event
Saadun N.
Assist: Msindo P.

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KenGold
15%
Draws
85%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than KenGold.
  • Win probability leans Azam's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
KenGold Clean Sheet 17%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KenGold Azam
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 25
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 0.73 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Azam
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs KenGold
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KenGold Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saadun N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KenGold 10 / 100
Azam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KenGold Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

KenGold found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Azam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 32% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Azam
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KenGold

(Home)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

Azam

(Away)
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)