Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Kibaya J.
Assist: Zakaria A.
26'
26'
Kiala L.
48'
48'
Daudi M.
Assist: Masoud A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between KenGold and Mashujaa finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mashujaa come out ahead of KenGold on wins alone.
- Mashujaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
KenGold Clean Sheet 26%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KenGold | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 20 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Mashujaa
2:2
Oct 21, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs KenGold
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KenGold Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiala L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daudi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Mashujaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kibaya J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nassoro Iddi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KenGold 10 / 100
Mashujaa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KenGold Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
KenGold scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Mashujaa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Mashujaa conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mashujaa
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
KenGold
(Home) 22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0 KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5 Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2 Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1 KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5 Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2 Pamba
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3 Tanzania Prisons
03 Apr
KenGold
0 : 2 Azam
05 Mar
KenGold
2 : 2 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 3
Mashujaa
(Away) 04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 83:10 | 82 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 69:13 | 78 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:19 | 63 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45:26 | 57 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:45 | 38 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27:27 | 36 |
| 7 | Mashujaa | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 29:33 | 35 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 26:31 | 35 |
| 9 | Namungo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Pamba | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 22:33 | 34 |
| 12 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:49 | 34 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26:46 | 31 |
| 14 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32:58 | 29 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 23 |
| 16 | KenGold | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)
