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Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ajoung J.
90' Event
Nacheri B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CECAFA Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kenya U20
35%
Draws
46%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: South Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kenya U20 lately — more wins on the board than South Sudan U20.
  • Model gives Kenya U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 20%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20
1:1
Dec 2, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kenya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nacheri B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

South Sudan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajoung J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya U20 42 / 100
South Sudan U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya U20 South Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: South Sudan U20 conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kenya U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya U20 VS South Sudan U20
2.38 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
3 Ethiopia U20 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Sudan U20 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kenya U20 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
3 South Sudan U20 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)