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Kenya U23 vs Ivory Coast U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23. This one's hard to separate. Kenya U23 have averaged 1.22 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Ivory Coast U23's 1.52 scored and 1.19 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Ivory Coast U23 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kenya U23
20%
Draws
20%
Ivory Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Ivory Coast U23 have won more games recently than Kenya U23.
  • Model gives Kenya U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Ivory Coast U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kenya U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Ivory Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya U23 Ivory Coast U23
Matches Played 9 27
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya U23 84 / 100
Ivory Coast U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya U23 Ivory Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast U23 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Away concern: Ivory Coast U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Kenya U23 scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Recent resilience: Kenya U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya U23 VS Ivory Coast U23
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Tanzania U23
3 : 1
Kenya U23
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1
Tanzania U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
21 Jul
South Sudan U23
0 : 2
Kenya U23
Page 1 of 2

Ivory Coast U23

(Away)
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
06 Jun
Netherlands U21
3 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
11 Jun
Egypt U23
2 : 1
Ivory Coast U23
07 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -