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Kenya vs Chad

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Osoro E.
45' Event
Sakwa D.
60' Event
Ali M.

AI Match Summary

Kenya in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kenya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kenya
20%
Draws
10%
Chad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kenya lately — more wins on the board than Chad.
  • Kenya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kenya Clean Sheet 68%
Chad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya Chad
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.3 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.26 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Kenya vs Chad
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International
Chad vs Kenya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kenya Compare

Top Goalscorer Osoro E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakwa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya 95 / 100
Chad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya Chad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chad has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kenya scored in 74% of their last 23 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Kenya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya VS Chad
0.88 Goals Scored 0.86
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.86
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya

(Home)
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Senegal
8 : 0
Kenya
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Chad

(Away)
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
17 Nov
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
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