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Kenya vs Comoros

World World

Friendly International 2025
Mon, Nov 17, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kenya host Comoros in the Friendly International 2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kenya at 1.3 goals for, 1.26 against; Comoros at 0.93 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Kenya have won 0 to Comoros's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Nov 17, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.52 - 1.29) back Kenya to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kenya
20%
Draws
29%
Comoros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Comoros's 0.93.
  • Kenya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kenya Clean Sheet 19%
Comoros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya Comoros
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Kenya vs Comoros
0:0
Jun 30, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Kenya vs Comoros
0:2
Nov 15, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Comoros vs Kenya
2:1
Nov 11, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Kenya vs Comoros
1:1
Mar 24, 2018 Friendly International
Kenya vs Comoros
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya 85 / 100
Comoros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya Comoros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kenya scored in 74% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Kenya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Comoros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya VS Comoros
1.29 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya

(Home)
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Senegal
8 : 0
Kenya
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Comoros

(Away)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
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