Sport Picks
Kenya vs Madagascar Prediction & H2H Stats
World
Friendly International 2025 
AI Match Summary
Kenya host Madagascar in the Friendly International 2025. This one's hard to separate. Madagascar have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Kenya have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.26. Head-to-head, Kenya have won 1 to Madagascar's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.38, favoring Madagascar. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Madagascar lately — more wins on the board than Kenya.
- Win probability leans Kenya's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kenya | Madagascar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kenya scored in 74% of their last 23 games.
Madagascar has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Recent resilience: Kenya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.
