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Kepez Bld. vs Balikesirspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kepez Bld. host Balikesirspor in the 3. Lig Group 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kepez Bld. at 1.14 goals for, 1.86 against; Balikesirspor at 2.21 for, 1.1 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.00, favoring Balikesirspor. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kepez Bld.
20%
Draws
52%
Balikesirspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balikesirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Balikesirspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Balikesirspor are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 10%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kepez Bld. Balikesirspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kepez Bld. 22 / 100
Balikesirspor 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kepez Bld. Balikesirspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balikesirspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kepez Bld. scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Balikesirspor let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Kepez Bld. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kepez Bld. VS Balikesirspor
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kepez Bld.

(Home)
31 Oct
Kepez Bld.
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Oct
Alanya 1221
1 : 2
Kepez Bld.
18 Oct
Kepez Bld.
1 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
11 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Kepez Bld.
07 Oct
Eskisehir Anadolu
4 : 2
Kepez Bld.
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Balikesirspor

(Away)
01 Nov
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 1
Balikesirspor
28 Oct
Balikesirspor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
24 Oct
Balikesirspor
5 : 0
Altay
18 Oct
Etimesgut
2 : 2
Balikesirspor
11 Oct
Balikesirspor
3 : 1
Aksehirspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 9 6 3 0 19:4 21
2 Eskisehirspor 9 5 3 1 28:10 18
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 Ayvalikgucu 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
5 Balikesirspor 9 5 2 2 25:16 17
6 Etimesgut 9 5 2 2 12:5 17
7 Bigaspor 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
8 Bursa Yildirimspor 9 4 5 0 11:6 17
9 Karsiyaka 9 4 3 2 13:6 15
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 9 3 1 5 10:16 10
11 Altay 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
12 Kepez Bld. 9 2 2 5 7:13 8
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
14 Soke 1970 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
15 Bucaspor 1928 9 2 0 7 9:16 6
16 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 9 1 3 5 6:20 6
17 Aksehirspor 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
18 Alanya 1221 9 1 1 7 5:22 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)