Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Kochi
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Mahitosh R.
44' Event
Feuillassier F.
Assist: Yoke K.
46'
Sub
Sudeesh N. In: M S S.
Out: Sudeesh N.

AI Match Summary

Kerala Blasters in this ISL matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kerala Blasters.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kerala Blasters
20%
Draws
28%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerala Blasters

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohammedan haven't matched Kerala Blasters's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Kerala Blasters taking it.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kerala Blasters have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 16%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Blasters Mohammedan
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 ISL
Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters
1:2
Sep 9, 2022 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Blasters Compare

Top Goalscorer Feuillassier F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertomeu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahitosh R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala Blasters 84 / 100
Mohammedan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Blasters Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerala Blasters Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Kerala Blasters has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kerala Blasters's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mohammedan let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kerala Blasters VS Mohammedan
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerala Blasters

(Home)
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1
Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0
Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1
North East United
Page 1 of 6

Mohammedan

(Away)
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
28 Aug
Coal India
2 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)