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Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerala Blasters play Mumbai City in the ISL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kerala Blasters averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Mumbai City averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kerala Blasters won 2, Mumbai City won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Kerala Blasters and 1.13 for Mumbai City. This points to a Mumbai City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kerala Blasters
22%
Draws
18%
Mumbai City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kerala Blasters

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mumbai City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kerala Blasters.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Kerala Blasters.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in ISL provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 68%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Blasters Mumbai City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Super Cup
Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 ISL
Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
4:2
Aug 1, 2024 Durand Cup
Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Blasters Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mumbai City Compare

Top Goalscorer Chhangte L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala Blasters 68 / 100
Mumbai City 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Blasters Mumbai City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerala Blasters scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Mumbai City let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kerala Blasters went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mumbai City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerala Blasters VS Mumbai City
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323