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Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

India India

Santosh Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerala play Jammu Kashmir (J&K) in the Santosh Trophy 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kerala averaged 2.35 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. Jammu Kashmir (J&K) averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Kerala won 3, Jammu Kashmir (J&K) won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 27, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.22 for Kerala and 1.10 for Jammu Kashmir (J&K). This points to a Kerala double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Kerala
15%
Draws
31%
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Kerala picked up more points recently compared to Jammu Kashmir (J&K).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.22 vs 1.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Kerala Clean Sheet 22%
Jammu Kashmir (J&K) Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.35 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
1:0
Oct 13, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
6:1
Jan 5, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Compare

Top Goalscorer Viknesh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edakkavil R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala 53 / 100
Jammu Kashmir (J&K) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kerala & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kerala attacking → ← attacking Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerala scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Kerala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 37
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.57
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.43

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delhi football team541014:113
2Karnataka540121:512
3Gujarat530212:109
4Uttarakhand51136:104
5Tripura51132:184
6Ladakh50145:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kerala550024:215
2Mizoram540114:812
3Jammu Kashmir (J&K)52128:87
4Bihar51136:104
5Rajasthan FC51131:144
6Andhra Pradesh50143:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Goa FT53208:311
2Nagaland53206:211
3Assam530212:69
4Uttar Pradesh52126:67
5Arunachal51135:104
6Tamilnadu50053:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1West Bengal FT550017:115
2Maharashtra540113:312
3Haryana53029:89
4Chhattisgarh51135:74
5Madhya Pradesh51135:134
6Daman & Dadra50050:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Meghalaya532017:211
2Odisha football team531117:310
3Sikkim FA53118:510
4Telangana530211:59
5Pondicherry50143:181
6Andamans & Nicobar50142:251
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Punjab FT541011:113
2Manipur540116:612
3Chandigarh521210:67
4Jharkhand52036:116
5Lakshadweep51047:133
6Himachal Pradesh51045:183