Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kercem Ajax vs Marsa Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Sun, Oct 23, 2016
3 - 4
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marsa in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kercem Ajax
20%
Draws
58%
Marsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kercem Ajax have won more games recently than Marsa.
  • Model gives Marsa a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marsa, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 16%
Marsa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax Marsa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 6
Draws 0 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 2.63 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2020 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Marsa
0:3
Oct 23, 2016 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Marsa
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 11 / 100
Marsa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kercem Ajax scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Kercem Ajax has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS Marsa
0.67 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Marsa

(Away)
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0
Mtarfa
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
14 Mar
Santa Lucia
0 : 1
Marsa
08 Mar
Marsa
3 : 3
Gudja
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb 2
Xghajra 1
TBD -
Nadur -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
St. Lawrence -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/64-finals
Victoria Wanderers 3
St. Venera 0
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Xewkija 6
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 7
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida 1
Luqa 0
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem 3
Kalkara 2
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
Mdina 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar 2
Xbiex 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 0
Kirkop 4
St. Lawrence 3
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Xaghra 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 0
Oratory 5
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/32-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Melita 1
Zabbar 1
Mgarr 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa 4
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi 1
Xewkija 4
Sirens 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Nadur 4
Siggiewi 3
St. George's FC 2
Msida 0
Mqabba FC 1
Ghajnsielem 4
Naxxar Lions 1
Zejtun 1
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 3
Mellieha 2
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
Munxar 0
Gharghur 8
Pieta 1
Kirkop 0
St. Lawrence 0
Lija 5
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
San Gwann 4
Zebbug 2
Fgura 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea 7
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 5
Qrendi 2
Oratory 1
Gudja 0
Swieqi 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/16-finals
Victoria Wanderers 5
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 0
St. Andrews 3
Marsa 3
Xewkija 2
Sirens 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 2
Nadur 0
Siggiewi 0
Mqabba FC 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 0
Floriana 5
Tarxien 6
Gharghur 0
Pieta 0
Lija 2
Valletta 1
San Gwann 0
Zebbug 1
Balzan FC 3
Senglea 3
Hibernians 2
Gzira 2
Vittoriosa 3
Qrendi 1
Swieqi 0
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
1/8-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
St. Andrews 0
Marsa 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 1
Mqabba FC 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Floriana 4
Tarxien 3
Lija 0
Valletta 0
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 2
Vittoriosa 1
Qrendi 0
Sliema 5
Quarter-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Pembroke 0
Hamrun 0
Floriana 2
Tarxien 2
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 0
Sliema 1
Semi-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
Floriana 3
Tarxien 0
Sliema 3
Final
Floriana 2
Sliema 0