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Stadium Background

Kercem Ajax vs Qrendi

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Sat, Jan 20, 2018
3 - 4
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rolovic O.
51' Event
Rolovic O.
58' Event
Julio Cesar

AI Match Summary

Qrendi in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kercem Ajax
15%
Draws
59%
Qrendi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qrendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kercem Ajax lately — more wins on the board than Qrendi.
  • Win probability leans Qrendi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Qrendi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax Qrendi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 0 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2018 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Qrendi
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kercem Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolovic O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haska A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Qrendi Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio Cesar
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agius A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 18 / 100
Qrendi 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax Qrendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qrendi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kercem Ajax scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Qrendi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kercem Ajax stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS Qrendi
2 Goals Scored 1
3.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 38%
83% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Qrendi

(Away)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Oratory 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 4
St. Lawrence 1
TBD -
Msida -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gzira -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
Munxar 3
Mellieha 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
Kirkop 2
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax 5
Oratory 4
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq 3
Qala Saints 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Nadur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 2
Msida 1
Victoria Wanderers 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows 3
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 4
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mdina 2
Mellieha 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Marsa 0
Santa Lucia 4
Melita 4
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC 0
San Gwann 2
Kercem Ajax 2
Attard 0
Sirens 1
Zebbug 3
Qormi 4
Fgura 1
Zurrieq 1
Qrendi 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Birzebbuga 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Vittoriosa 7
Gharghur 1
Xghajra 2
Xewkija 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi 4
Luqa 2
Pembroke 1
Pieta 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Mqabba FC 3
Marsaxlokk 5
Zabbar 0
Dingli Swallows 0
Zejtun 5
Lija -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Kalkara 2
Swieqi 2
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 3
Rabat Ajax 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 5
Santa Lucia 0
Melita 0
San Gwann 3
Kercem Ajax 5
Zebbug 1
Qormi 0
Qrendi 2
Hibernians 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Xewkija 4
Hamrun 1
Gzira 0
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 3
Valletta 2
Senglea 0
Siggiewi 2
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 3
Lija 4
Kalkara 0
Swieqi 0
Tarxien 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 1
Balzan FC 4
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 2
San Gwann 1
Kercem Ajax 3
Qrendi 4
Hibernians 3
Xewkija 0
Hamrun 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Zejtun 2
Lija 2
Tarxien 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Balzan FC 2
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Qrendi 0
Hibernians 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Zejtun 0
Lija 1
Balzan FC 3
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Balzan FC 1
Final
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 2