Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Nouioui M.
73'
73'
Mrabet Y.
78'
78'
Mejri M.
AI Match Summary
Kerkennah in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kerkennah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kerkennah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Kerkennah have won more games recently than Chebba.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 68%
Chebba Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kerkennah | Chebba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Chebba
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Kerkennah
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Kerkennah
1:4
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Chebba
0:0
May 12, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Kerkennah
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kerkennah Compare
Top Goalscorer Mejri M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Chebba Compare
Top Goalscorer Nouioui M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kerkennah 41 / 100
Chebba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kerkennah Chebba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kerkennah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kerkennah has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Kerkennah scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Chebba conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Kerkennah VS Chebba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kerkennah
(Home) 11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Kerkennah
0 : 0 Hammam-Lif
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
13 Apr
Kerkennah
0 : 0 US Tataouine
Page 1 of 7
01 May
Kerkennah
0 : 0 Hammam-Lif
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
13 Apr
Kerkennah
0 : 0 US Tataouine
29 Mar
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Chebba
22 Feb
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 3
Chebba
(Away) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
29 Mar
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Chebba
22 Feb
US Tataouine
2 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
