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Kerkennah vs Espoir Rogba Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Sat, Apr 12, 2025
2 - 0
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerkennah host Espoir Rogba in the Ligue 2 2024/2025. Kerkennah are expected to control this from the start. Kerkennah have averaged 1.41 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Espoir Rogba's 0.73 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Kerkennah have won 2 to Espoir Rogba's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 0.94, favoring Kerkennah. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kerkennah
15%
Draws
0%
Espoir Rogba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerkennah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kerkennah come out ahead of Espoir Rogba on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kerkennah taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 68%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerkennah Espoir Rogba
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.41 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Espoir Rogba
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Kerkennah
1:3
Jun 7, 2024 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Espoir Rogba
1:1
Dec 21, 2023 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Kerkennah
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerkennah 95 / 100
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerkennah Espoir Rogba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerkennah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Espoir Rogba conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Espoir Rogba lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kerkennah scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kerkennah VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerkennah

(Home)
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2
Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3
Kerkennah
01 May
Kerkennah
0 : 0
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 8

Espoir Rogba

(Away)
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3
Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7
Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1
Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0
Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)