Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kerry vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park, Tralee
Kerry Logo

Kerry

1 - 0
FT
Athlone Logo

Athlone

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
O'Connor E.
25'
Sub
McGrath S. In: Okwute D.
Out: McGrath S.
32'
McManus B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Kerry and Athlone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kerry
20%
Draws
47%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kerry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kerry Clean Sheet 18%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Athlone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Athlone
1:0
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Kerry
0:0
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Athlone
0:1
Sep 22, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Kerry
0:0
Aug 1, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Athlone
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Athlone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 32 / 100
Athlone 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Athlone has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Kerry went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS Athlone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerry

(Home)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

Athlone

(Away)
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 31 21 5 5 64:29 68
2 UC Dublin 31 14 7 10 55:40 49
3 Bray 31 13 8 10 59:44 47
4 Cobh Ramblers 31 13 6 12 38:43 45
5 Kerry 31 11 9 11 39:36 42
6 Longford 31 11 8 12 41:41 41
7 Athlone 31 11 8 12 33:36 41
8 Wexford 31 10 7 14 34:46 37
9 Treaty United 31 8 9 14 31:45 33
10 Finn Harps 31 6 7 18 29:63 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)