Sport Picks

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Kerry vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerry play Bray in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kerry averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Bray averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Kerry won 1, Bray won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Kerry and 2.00 for Bray. This points to a Bray double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kerry
23%
Draws
47%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Kerry picked up more points recently compared to Bray.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Bray
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:2
Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
5:1
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Britton M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tucker K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 29 / 100
Bray 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Bray

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bray or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kerry attacking → ← attacking Bray

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bray let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Kerry went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bray lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 49
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420