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Kerry vs Cork City Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park, Tralee
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerry host Cork City in the Division 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kerry have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Cork City's 2.07 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Kerry have won 1 to Cork City's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.00) back Cork City to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kerry
15%
Draws
37%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cork City have won more games recently than Kerry.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cork City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Cork City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.29 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
3:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Cork City
1:0
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
4:2
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Cork City vs Kerry
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Kerry vs Cork City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 30 / 100
Cork City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Cork City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kerry scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Cork City has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Kerry stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS Cork City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerry

(Home)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
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Cork City

(Away)
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)