Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2025 Kalevan Urheilupuisto
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Saynio E.
36' Event
Toivonen H.
50'
Musa A.

AI Match Summary

Keski-Uusimaa in this Ykkonen 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keski-Uusimaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Keski-Uusimaa
17%
Draws
13%
EPS
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keski-Uusimaa lately — more wins on the board than EPS.
  • Keski-Uusimaa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ykkonen 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 20%
EPS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa EPS
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ykkonen
EPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:3
Jun 14, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS
4:1
Sep 22, 2024 Ykkonen
EPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:5
Aug 10, 2024 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Toivonen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

EPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 67 / 100
EPS 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa EPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EPS conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Keski-Uusimaa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Keski-Uusimaa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa VS EPS
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%