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Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2025 Kalevan Urheilupuisto
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keski-Uusimaa play EPS in the Ykkonen 2025. Keski-Uusimaa are favorites here. Recently, Keski-Uusimaa averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. EPS averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Keski-Uusimaa won 3, EPS won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 3, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Keski-Uusimaa and 1.00 for EPS. This points to a Keski-Uusimaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Keski-Uusimaa
25%
Draws
15%
EPS
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Keski-Uusimaa picked up more points recently compared to EPS.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 23%
EPS Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa EPS
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ykkonen
EPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:3
Jun 14, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS
4:1
Sep 22, 2024 Ykkonen
EPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:5
Aug 10, 2024 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs EPS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Toivonen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

EPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 59 / 100
EPS 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa EPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Keski-Uusimaa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Keski-Uusimaa attacking → ← attacking EPS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keski-Uusimaa scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

EPS let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Keski-Uusimaa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

EPS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 37
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88