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Keski-Uusimaa vs KuPS Akatemia

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kalevan Urheilupuisto
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lokake N.
23' Event
Tiainen S.
41'
Musa A.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between Keski-Uusimaa and KuPS Akatemia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keski-Uusimaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Keski-Uusimaa
11%
Draws
9%
KuPS Akatemia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Keski-Uusimaa's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what KuPS Akatemia have produced (1.63).
  • Model gives Keski-Uusimaa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Keski-Uusimaa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa KuPS Akatemia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KuPS Akatemia
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs Keski-Uusimaa
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KuPS Akatemia
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs Keski-Uusimaa
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lokake N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiainen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 76 / 100
KuPS Akatemia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa KuPS Akatemia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS Akatemia let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Keski-Uusimaa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Keski-Uusimaa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa VS KuPS Akatemia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere Utd15111329:934
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3SalPa1575331:2526
4JJK Jyvaskyla1674540:2925
5OLS Oulu1665530:2323
6Keski-Uusimaa1464427:1922
7VJS1455425:1920
8Jazz Pori1562718:2317
9TPV1544719:2516
10FC Inter Turku 21543826:4115
11KuPS Akatemia15231025:379
12KPV Kokkola14221012:478