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Keski-Uusimaa vs SalPa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kalevan Urheilupuisto, Kerava
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keski-Uusimaa host SalPa in the Ykkonen. SalPa go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Keski-Uusimaa at 1.79 goals for, 1.45 against; SalPa at 2.07 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Keski-Uusimaa have won 2 to SalPa's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring SalPa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Keski-Uusimaa
15%
Draws
54%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • SalPa have won more games recently than Keski-Uusimaa.
  • SalPa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 20%
SalPa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa SalPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs Keski-Uusimaa
0:1
May 2, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs SalPa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 24 / 100
SalPa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa SalPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Keski-Uusimaa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Keski-Uusimaa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa VS SalPa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Keski-Uusimaa

(Home)
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
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SalPa

(Away)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 25 15 5 5 58:26 50
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 25 12 8 5 52:37 44
3 SalPa 25 12 6 7 52:45 42
4 OLS Oulu 25 11 8 6 50:37 41
5 Keski-Uusimaa 25 10 8 7 45:37 38
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 25 8 7 10 55:53 31
Promotion - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)