Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keski-Uusimaa vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kalevan Urheilupuisto, Kerava
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Riikonen E.
30'
Sivunen J.
41'
Musa A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Keski-Uusimaa
30%
Draws
33%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keski-Uusimaa lately — more wins on the board than TPV.
  • Keski-Uusimaa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 20%
TPV Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa TPV
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs Keski-Uusimaa
0:2
Jun 14, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs TPV
2:2
Mar 9, 2018 Suomen Cup
TPV vs Keski-Uusimaa
2:0
Sep 27, 2015 Kakkonen South
Keski-Uusimaa vs TPV
2:0
Sep 1, 2015 Kakkonen South
Keski-Uusimaa vs TPV
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Azhar L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toivonen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Riikonen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toijala T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 67 / 100
TPV 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Keski-Uusimaa scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Keski-Uusimaa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa VS TPV
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keski-Uusimaa

(Home)
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
16 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
2 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
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TPV

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)