Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Gyasi M.
43'
43'
Panter E.
62'
62'
Harvey P.
AI Match Summary
Kettering in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kettering.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kettering
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Kettering have won more games recently than Leiston.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- Kettering have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kettering Clean Sheet 14%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kettering | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Leiston
4:0
Jan 10, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Kettering
4:1
Aug 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Leiston
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Kettering
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Leiston
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kettering Compare
Top Goalscorer Gyasi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Panter E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Leiston Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kettering 30 / 100
Leiston 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kettering Leiston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kettering Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kettering scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Leiston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Kettering went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kettering VS Leiston
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Kettering
(Home) 10 Nov
Anstey Nomads
1 : 0 Kettering
07 Nov
Kettering
2 : 1 Redditch
03 Nov
Bury Town
2 : 3 Kettering
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1 Kettering
27 Oct
Kettering
3 : 2 Rushall
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Kettering
2 : 1 Redditch
27 Oct
Kettering
3 : 2 Rushall
24 Oct
Kettering
6 : 2 Quorn
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
10 Oct
Kettering
1 : 1 Halesowen
Page 1 of 4
Leiston
(Away) 10 Nov
Leiston
1 : 4 Real Bedford
07 Nov
Bromsgrove
3 : 2 Leiston
31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Bromsgrove
3 : 2 Leiston
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
10 Oct
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 0 Leiston
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 34:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Kettering | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Peterborough Sports | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29:14 | 29 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 36:24 | 28 |
| 9 | Rushall | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 24 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Stratford | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:28 | 22 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 14 | Redditch | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 15 | Worcester | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | 16 |
| 16 | Hitchin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Leiston | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 26:33 | 15 |
| 18 | Stortford | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Banbury | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 20 | Leamington | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 24:33 | 13 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16:35 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:40 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
