Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keynsham Town W vs Plymouth W

England England

Women's National League South 2020/2021
Keynsham Town W Logo

Keynsham Town W

5 - 1
FT
Plymouth W Logo

Plymouth W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Keynsham Town W play Plymouth W in the Women's National League South 2020/2021. Plymouth W are favorites here. Recently, Keynsham Town W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. Plymouth W averaged 2.55 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Keynsham Town W won 1, Plymouth W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2022 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Keynsham Town W and 2.38 for Plymouth W. This points to a Plymouth W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Keynsham Town W
15%
Draws
61%
Plymouth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Keynsham Town W picked up more points recently compared to Plymouth W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Keynsham Town W Clean Sheet 10%
Plymouth W Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keynsham Town W Plymouth W
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 9 27
Draws 1 4
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.4 2.55
Goals Conceded 3.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Keynsham Town W
5:0
Nov 14, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Keynsham Town W vs Plymouth W
3:5
Aug 29, 2021 Women's National League South
Keynsham Town W vs Plymouth W
1:5
Sep 20, 2020 Women's National League South
Keynsham Town W vs Plymouth W
5:1
Sep 8, 2019 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Keynsham Town W
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keynsham Town W 24 / 100
Plymouth W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keynsham Town W Plymouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Plymouth W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Keynsham Town W attacking → ← attacking Plymouth W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keynsham Town W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Plymouth W let in goals in 53% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Keynsham Town W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Plymouth W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 85
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63