Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Egnatia host AF Elbasani in the Abissnet Superiore. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. KF Egnatia have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against AF Elbasani's 1.37 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor KF Egnatia slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.13) back KF Egnatia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
KF Egnatia
35%
Draws
28%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • KF Egnatia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KF Egnatia a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 20%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia AF Elbasani
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
2:1
May 17, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:4
Apr 22, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 40 / 100
AF Elbasani 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KF Egnatia scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: AF Elbasani conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

KF Egnatia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS AF Elbasani
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Egnatia

(Home)
29 Oct
KF Egnatia
1 : 0
Teuta
25 Oct
Dinamo City
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
22 Oct
Aarhus
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
18 Oct
KF Egnatia
3 : 1
Vllaznia
15 Oct
KF Egnatia
1 : 1
Midtjylland
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AF Elbasani

(Away)
28 Oct
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
Partizani
24 Oct
Teuta
0 : 0
AF Elbasani
17 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
10 Oct
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vora
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Egnatia 9 7 0 2 18:8 21
2 Teuta 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
3 Dinamo City 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
4 KF Tirana 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
5 Laci 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 AF Elbasani 9 2 5 2 11:11 11
7 Vora 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
8 Skenderbeu Korca 9 2 4 3 10:11 10
9 Vllaznia 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
10 Partizani 9 1 1 7 10:21 4
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)