Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Daniel P.
Own Goal
16'
16'
Sub
Bakayoko S. In: Adjessa D.
Out: Bakayoko S.
45'
45'
Kvesic M.
Assist: Seslar S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KF Egnatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and KF Egnatia come out ahead of Celje on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on KF Egnatia taking it.
- KF Egnatia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%
Celje Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KF Egnatia | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Champions League
Celje vs KF Egnatia
3:2
Jul 22, 2026 Champions League
KF Egnatia vs Celje
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KF Egnatia Compare
Top Goalscorer Medeiros F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diabate I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Celje Compare
Top Goalscorer Kvesic M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kucys A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KF Egnatia 95 / 100
Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KF Egnatia Celje
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KF Egnatia found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Celje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
KF Egnatia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
KF Egnatia VS Celje
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Egnatia
(Home) 20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Partizani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3 KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Partizani
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0 KF Tirana
20 Aug
KF Egnatia
0 : 0 Lillestrom
13 Aug
KF Egnatia
5 : 1 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Celje
(Away) 20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0 Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1 Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1 Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2 Celje
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0 Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1 Celje
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2 Celje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1 Celje
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
