Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Egnatia vs Celje

Europe Europe

Champions League Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
KF Egnatia Logo

KF Egnatia

3 - 3
FT
Celje Logo

Celje

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Daniel P.
Own Goal
16'
Sub
Bakayoko S. In: Adjessa D.
Out: Bakayoko S.
45' Event
Kvesic M.
Assist: Seslar S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-3. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KF Egnatia
6%
Draws
4%
Celje
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celje come out ahead of KF Egnatia on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on KF Egnatia taking it.
  • Celje arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%
Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia Celje
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Champions League
Celje vs KF Egnatia
3:2
Jul 22, 2026 Champions League
KF Egnatia vs Celje
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Medeiros F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diabate I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvesic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kucys A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 95 / 100
Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: KF Egnatia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

KF Egnatia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Celje let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS Celje
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Egnatia

(Home)
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
27 Jun
FC Botosani
1 : 3
KF Egnatia
31 May
KF Egnatia
2 : 0
Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 6

Celje

(Away)
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2
Mura
11 Jul
Celje
1 : 1
Istra 1961
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
04 Jul
Celje
1 : 1
Cukaricki
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun3
Din. Zagreb4
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19991
Slovan Bratislava3
Levski Sofia3
Univ. Craiova2
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty2
Aarhus6
Lech Poznan5
Sabah Baku3
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia3
Shamrock Rovers2
KF Egnatia5
Celje6
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva3
Larne0
Crvena zvezda9
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce2
Gornik Zabrze1
Sturm Graz6
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Mjallby-
Slovan Bratislava-
Levski Sofia-
Kairat Almaty-
Aarhus-
Sabah Baku-
Ararat-Armenia-
Celje-
H. Beer Sheva-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
Sturm Graz-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-