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KF Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Egnatia host Lincoln Red Imps in the Conference League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: KF Egnatia at 2 goals for, 1.28 against; Lincoln Red Imps at 1.96 for, 0.82 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Lincoln Red Imps. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KF Egnatia
15%
Draws
54%
Lincoln Red Imps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lincoln Red Imps lately — more wins on the board than KF Egnatia.
  • Lincoln Red Imps are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 17%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia Lincoln Red Imps
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 15 / 100
Lincoln Red Imps 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia Lincoln Red Imps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Red Imps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Egnatia scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

KF Egnatia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lincoln Red Imps's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Lincoln Red Imps lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS Lincoln Red Imps
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Egnatia

(Home)
05 Nov
Univ. Craiova
2 : 0
KF Egnatia
01 Nov
KF Tirana
1 : 2
KF Egnatia
29 Oct
KF Egnatia
1 : 0
Teuta
25 Oct
Dinamo City
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
22 Oct
Aarhus
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln Red Imps

(Away)
05 Nov
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 0
Hajduk Split
01 Nov
Hound Dogs
0 : 5
Lincoln Red Imps
25 Oct
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 0
Lions Gibraltar
22 Oct
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 4
Twente
18 Oct
Lynx
1 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)