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KF Egnatia vs Midtjylland

Europe Europe

Conference League Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
KF Egnatia Logo

KF Egnatia

Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Midtjylland Logo

Midtjylland

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KF Egnatia host Midtjylland in the Conference League. This one's hard to separate. KF Egnatia have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Midtjylland's 2.2 scored and 1.03 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Midtjylland. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
KF Egnatia
20%
Draws
44%
Midtjylland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Midtjylland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Midtjylland have won more games recently than KF Egnatia.
  • Model gives Midtjylland a 44% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 16%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia Midtjylland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.93 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 19 / 100
Midtjylland 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia Midtjylland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Midtjylland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Egnatia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Midtjylland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

KF Egnatia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS Midtjylland
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Egnatia

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Partizani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3
KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6

Midtjylland

(Away)
19 Sept
Odense
1 : 1
Midtjylland
14 Sept
Midtjylland
4 : 1
Brondby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
07 Sept
Midtjylland
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mjallby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Gent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Twente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Brann 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Braga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Lugano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Crvena zvezda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 KF Egnatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 FK Kauno Zalgiris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Univ. Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Riga FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)