Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Elbasani vs KS Devolli

Albania Albania

First Division 2019/2020 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Elbasani in this First Division 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Elbasani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
KF Elbasani
20%
Draws
0%
KS Devolli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • KS Devolli average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of KF Elbasani's 1.
  • Win probability leans KF Elbasani's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 20%
KS Devolli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Elbasani KS Devolli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs KS Devolli
3:1
Jun 21, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KS Devolli vs KF Elbasani
1:2
Dec 21, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KS Devolli vs KF Elbasani
3:1
Sep 28, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs KS Devolli
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Elbasani 85 / 100
KS Devolli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Elbasani KS Devolli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Devolli let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: KS Devolli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

KF Elbasani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KF Elbasani VS KS Devolli
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Elbasani

(Home)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
Page 1 of 7

KS Devolli

(Away)
15 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 2
KS Devolli
16 Oct
Flamurtari
15 : 1
KS Devolli
18 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
4 : 0
KS Devolli
11 Oct
Laci
5 : 0
KS Devolli
26 Sept
KS Devolli
0 : 2
Laci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
6 KF Egnatia 24 7 10 7 21:19 31
7 Burreli 24 8 7 9 23:25 31
8 Dinamo City 24 8 3 13 20:29 27
9 Koplik 24 6 7 11 21:30 25
10 Terbuni Puka 24 5 8 11 20:33 23
11 Shkumbini Peqin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
6 KF Oriku 28 11 7 10 22:25 40
7 Turbina Cerrik 28 11 5 12 39:35 38
8 KF Elbasani 28 12 1 15 42:50 37
9 KS Devolli 28 10 4 14 39:43 34
10 Iliria Kruja 28 9 6 13 35:44 33
11 Shenkolli 28 3 9 16 31:64 18
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation)