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KF Elbasani vs Librazhd

Albania Albania

First Division 2016/2017 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
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AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between KF Elbasani and Librazhd finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
KF Elbasani
20%
Draws
44%
Librazhd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Librazhd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Librazhd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KF Elbasani a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 19%
Librazhd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Elbasani Librazhd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs KF Elbasani
2:0
Apr 8, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Librazhd
2:2
Feb 11, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs KF Elbasani
2:2
Nov 2, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Librazhd
1:1
Apr 6, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs KF Elbasani
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Elbasani 58 / 100
Librazhd 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Elbasani Librazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Librazhd has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

KF Elbasani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Librazhd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KF Elbasani VS Librazhd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.43
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Elbasani

(Home)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
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Librazhd

(Away)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1
Librazhd
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Librazhd
16 Oct
Burreli
4 : 0
Librazhd
18 Oct
Besa Kavaje
3 : 2
Librazhd
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iliria Kruja 8 4 1 3 10:10 20
2 Kastrioti 8 3 0 5 9:11 20
3 Besa Kavaje 8 3 2 3 8:8 20
4 Terbuni Puka 8 4 2 2 7:5 19
5 Mamurrasi 8 3 1 4 8:8 17
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apolonia Fier 8 4 3 1 17:9 26
2 Turbina Cerrik 8 3 2 3 13:12 22
3 Dinamo City 8 2 4 2 6:8 19
4 Librazhd 8 2 3 3 8:9 17
5 KF Elbasani 8 1 4 3 11:17 15
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)