Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Elbasani vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

First Division 2020/2021 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
KF Elbasani Logo

KF Elbasani

0 - 1
FT
Lushnja Logo

Lushnja

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lushnja in this First Division 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lushnja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
KF Elbasani
30%
Draws
31%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lushnja lately — more wins on the board than KF Elbasani.
  • Win probability leans KF Elbasani's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lushnja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 20%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Elbasani Lushnja
Matches Played 28 41
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Elbasani
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Lushnja
0:1
Mar 3, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Elbasani
3:1
Nov 28, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Lushnja
0:1
Feb 8, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Elbasani
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Elbasani 49 / 100
Lushnja 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Elbasani Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 41 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

KF Elbasani went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Lushnja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Elbasani

(Home)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Beselidhja Lezha 24 10 6 8 32:26 36
6 Erzeni Shijak 24 9 7 8 29:22 34
7 KF Oriku 24 9 4 11 18:21 31
8 Partizani II 24 6 6 12 26:38 24
9 Koplik 24 2 5 17 17:46 11
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lushnja 20 7 7 6 21:25 28
6 Turbina Cerrik 20 6 7 7 23:24 25
7 Flamurtari 20 5 2 13 14:30 17
8 KF Elbasani 20 3 2 15 13:40 11
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation)