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KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Sat, Apr 3, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Gostivar host Vardari Forino in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: KF Gostivar at 1.06 goals for, 1.06 against; Vardari Forino at 1.1 for, 2.05 against. Past meetings favor KF Gostivar slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 0.69, favoring KF Gostivar. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Gostivar
15%
Draws
85%
Vardari Forino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vardari Forino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vardari Forino haven't matched KF Gostivar's recent run of results.
  • Vardari Forino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 20%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Gostivar Vardari Forino
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino
0:0
Feb 27, 2021 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs KF Gostivar
0:3
Oct 17, 2020 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino
1:0
Mar 14, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs KF Gostivar
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Gostivar 10 / 100
Vardari Forino 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Gostivar Vardari Forino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardari Forino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vardari Forino conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vardari Forino registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

KF Gostivar found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

KF Gostivar VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Gostivar

(Home)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 7

Vardari Forino

(Away)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)