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KF Lepenci vs Besa Peja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Lepenci host Besa Peja in the Liga e Pare. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. KF Lepenci have averaged 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Besa Peja's 1.13 scored and 1.17 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.75 - 1.00) back Besa Peja to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KF Lepenci
35%
Draws
32%
Besa Peja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Besa Peja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on KF Lepenci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
KF Lepenci Clean Sheet 20%
Besa Peja Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Lepenci Besa Peja
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Lepenci 36 / 100
Besa Peja 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Lepenci Besa Peja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Peja has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: KF Lepenci remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

KF Lepenci found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).

Besa Peja's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KF Lepenci VS Besa Peja
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Lepenci

(Home)
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 2
Rilindja
19 Sept
Kika
2 : 1
KF Lepenci
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Dinamo Ferizaj
1 : 1
KF Lepenci
Page 1 of 2

Besa Peja

(Away)
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Besa Peja
1 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Besa Peja
2 : 3
Ramiz Sadiku
05 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 0
Besa Peja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)