Sport Picks
KF Oriku vs Butrinti Sarande - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Albania
Albanian Cup 
Match Events
6'
6'
Merkuri M.
60'
60'
Oliveira L.
83'
83'
Kolonja A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Butrinti Sarande
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- KF Oriku have won more games recently than Butrinti Sarande.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on KF Oriku taking it.
- KF Oriku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Butrinti Sarande, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 20%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KF Oriku | Butrinti Sarande |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Oriku vs Butrinti Sarande
1:2
Jun 5, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Butrinti Sarande
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KF Oriku Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Butrinti Sarande Compare
Top Goalscorer Merkuri M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kolonja A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KF Oriku 42 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KF Oriku Butrinti Sarande
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Butrinti Sarande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Difficult form: Butrinti Sarande registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
KF Oriku scored in 57% of their last 35 games.
Scoring Trends
KF Oriku VS Butrinti Sarande
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Oriku
(Home) 07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1 Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0 KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2 Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0 KF Oriku
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1 Burreli
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2 Bylis
18 Oct
KF Oriku
2 : 0 Pogradeci
07 May
KF Oriku
4 : 2 Lushnja
Page 1 of 4
Butrinti Sarande
(Away) 07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Kastrioti 3
Luzi 1
Burreli 2
Eagle FA 3
Besa Kavaje 4
KS Devolli 1
Korabi Peshkopi 2
Terbuni Puka 1
Iliria Kruja 4
Koplik 3
AF Luftetari 5
Tomori Berat 0
Pogradeci 7
Delvina 0
Kukesi 3
Erzeni Shijak 2
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Kucove 1
Apolonia Fier 3
Maliqi 1
Laci 8
Kelcyra 2
Lushnja 0
Shiroka 4
Flamurtari 4
Gramshi 1
KF Oriku 1
Butrinti Sarande 2
Bylis 4
Albpetrol 1
Beselidhja Lezha 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
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