Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Oriku vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Dalanaj A.
54' Event
Rafael Barbosa
67' Event
Malko G.

AI Match Summary

KF Oriku in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Oriku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Oriku
15%
Draws
85%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Lushnja have won more games recently than KF Oriku.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 68%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Oriku Lushnja
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup
Lushnja vs KF Oriku
0:1
May 7, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Lushnja
4:2
Dec 21, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Oriku
1:0
Feb 1, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Lushnja
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Oriku
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Oriku Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalanaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Haxhiu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Oriku 41 / 100
Lushnja 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Oriku Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Oriku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Lushnja has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

KF Oriku scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Oriku VS Lushnja
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Oriku

(Home)
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
26 Apr
Kukesi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
20 Nov
Vora
3 : 1
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)