Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Oriku vs Pogradeci

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024
KF Oriku Logo

KF Oriku

2 - 0
FT
Pogradeci Logo

Pogradeci

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bunkhoev A.
68' Event
Owusu L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with KF Oriku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Oriku
20%
Draws
80%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of KF Oriku on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pogradeci a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Pogradeci arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KF Oriku, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 10%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Oriku Pogradeci
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 20
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
KF Oriku vs Pogradeci
2:0
May 14, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
1:2
Nov 1, 2020 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
9:1
Dec 21, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
1:0
Sep 28, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Pogradeci
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Oriku Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunkhoev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pogradeci Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Oriku 10 / 100
Pogradeci 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Oriku Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Pogradeci has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

KF Oriku's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pogradeci lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Oriku VS Pogradeci
0.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Oriku

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Pogradeci

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti 3
Shkumbini Peqin 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 4
Kucove 0
Luzi 3
Butrinti Sarande 2
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 3
Delvina 0
Turbina Cerrik 4
Koplik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KS Devolli 0
Besa Kavaje 3
Sopoti Librazhd 2
Laci -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City 3
Iliria Kruja 0
KF Oriku 2
Pogradeci 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 1
Shenkolli 0
Lushnja 3
Laberia FC 0
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis 4
Murlani 1
Terbuni Puka 2
Vora 4
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
AF Luftetari 0
Burreli 2
KF Valbona 1
1/16-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
Kastrioti 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 2
Luzi 1
Teuta -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Turbina Cerrik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Besa Kavaje 2
Laci -
TBD -
Dinamo City 2
KF Oriku 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 0
Lushnja 3
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
Bylis 3
Vora 2
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
Burreli 0
1/8-finals
Kukesi 1
AF Elbasani 0
Partizani 3
Apolonia Fier 1
Teuta 2
Skenderbeu Korca 0
KF Tirana 3
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Laci 1
Dinamo City 0
KF Egnatia 2
Lushnja 0
Erzeni Shijak 2
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 4
Flamurtari 0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi 2
Partizani 1
Teuta 1
KF Tirana 2
Laci 1
KF Egnatia 4
Erzeni Shijak 3
Vllaznia 7
Semi-finals
Kukesi 2
KF Tirana 1
KF Egnatia 2
Vllaznia 1
Final
Kukesi 0
KF Egnatia 1