Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Arena Kombetare, Tirana
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Tirana host AF Elbasani in the Abissnet Superiore. This one's hard to separate. KF Tirana have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against AF Elbasani's 1.41 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor AF Elbasani slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.34, favoring KF Tirana. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KF Tirana
35%
Draws
32%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AF Elbasani at 1.41 per game, KF Tirana at 1.21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 68%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Tirana AF Elbasani
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Tirana
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani
0:1
Dec 24, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Tirana
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani
1:4
Mar 31, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Tirana
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Tirana 41 / 100
AF Elbasani 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Tirana AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Tirana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

KF Tirana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

KF Tirana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Tirana VS AF Elbasani
1.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Tirana

(Home)
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
06 Sept
KF Tirana
4 : 0
Vora
30 Aug
Teuta
3 : 1
KF Tirana
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
KF Tirana
15 Aug
KF Tirana
2 : 2
Laci
Page 1 of 6

AF Elbasani

(Away)
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
Partizani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teuta 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 KF Egnatia 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Dinamo City 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
4 Laci 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 AF Elbasani 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 KF Tirana 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
7 Partizani 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
8 Vora 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
9 Skenderbeu Korca 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
10 Vllaznia 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)